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EL:EURONEXT PARISEssilorLuxottica SA analysis

Data as of Oct 14, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$99.73
Risk: medium
7/10Medium risk

Summary

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is priced at $99.73, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 59.4 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $88.68 and resistance around $100.92.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory at a P/E of 199.5. Consensus targets land 7.6% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 6.3% on a 1.2% profit margin. The 1.40% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 32.9%, a beta of 1.33 and a maximum drawdown of 43.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.

Top market events

  • The latest company information, including net asset values, performance, holding & sectors weighting, changes in voting...
  • NEW YORK, September 14, 2026--The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
  • The Estée Lauder Companies stock stood at USD 95.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 91.73
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • Maximum drawdown of 43.8%

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • Dividend yield of 1.40% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 91.73
  • Analyst targets imply +7.6% versus the current price

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Dividend yield of 1.40% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +7.6% versus the current price
  • P/E ratio of 199.5

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin1.21%
P/E Ratio199.5
ROE4.75%
ROA5.23%
Debt/Equity242.93
P/B Ratio9.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.4
Support$88.68
Resistance$100.92
MA 20$95.32
MA 50$95.50
MA 200$91.73
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.29

Valuation

Fair Value$61.80
Target Price$107.34
Upside/Downside7.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.40%

Risk assessment

Beta1.33
Volatility32.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.